It’s been a
remarkable year in Britain’s jobs market. A flat economy has added more than
500,000 net new jobs – an annual employment growth rate of around 2% that one
would normally expect only in a period of strong growth in GDP. There has been
much discussion of this puzzling outcome which, even more remarkably, has
occurred alongside large scale public sector job cuts. Most comment has focused
on self-employment and part-time employment which together account for the bulk
of the increase. Yet relatively little attention has been given to the types of
jobs that have been created, or for that matter lost, during the surprising
jobs boom. I’ve therefore looked at what at present available Office for
National Statistics (ONS) data reveal about employment change by occupation in
the past year.
Managerial
and professional jobs dominate the top 10 positions in the league table of UK
job growth between April-June 2011 and April-June 2012, with big gains for Production
Managers and Directors in Manufacturing (up 33,000, 13%), Human Resource (HR)
managers and Directors (up 22,000, 19.2%), Management Consultants and Business
Analysts (up 18,000, 12.3%), Quality Assurance and Regulatory Professionals (up
18,000, 29.5%), and Information Technology (IT) Specialist Managers (up 18,000,
10.3%). However, Sales and Retail
Assistants saw the biggest jobs gains (up 77,000, +7.2%), while the number of Chefs
in employment also increased substantially (up 27,000, 14.4%).
The
majority of the 10 occupations registering the biggest jobs losses are outside
the managerial and professional groups, with the impact of the recession and
cuts in public expenditure apparent in falling employment of Electricians and
Electrical Fitters (down 26,000, 9.3%), Plumbers and Heating and Ventilating
Engineers (down 24,000, 12.6%), Nursing Auxiliaries (down 32,000, 10.6%),
Teaching Assistants (down 25,000, 7.1%), Youth and Community Workers (down
25,000, 30%) and Local Government Administrative Occupations (down 18,000,
10.5%). Other occupations shedding
substantial numbers of jobs include Electrical Engineers (down 17,000 36.9%),
Medical Practitioners (down 15,000, 6.2%), Special Needs Education Teaching
Professionals (down 14,000, 19.7%), Further Education Teaching Professionals
(down 13,000, 9.4%) and Police Officers below sergeant level (down 12,000,
6.9%).
From
the available data I also estimate that 1 in 14 UK workers (2.1 million or 7.1%
of all people in employment) are back office workers. Of these 0.7 million work
in finance, 0.4 million in HR, 0.4 million in IT and 0.6 million in back office
administration. The number of back office jobs increased by more than 100,000
(4.8%) between 2011 and 2012, in percentage terms more than double the net
increase in total employment.
This analysis overall
shows that the recent ‘jobs boom’ is a mix of good news for some groups of
workers but bad news for others. While the net job gain is most welcome, at a
time of economic austerity and mounting social distress it’s obviously worrying
that we are shedding so many front-line public sector jobs in areas like
health, teaching, policing and youth and community support work.
Moreover, in a period
of falling labour productivity it’s also very puzzling to see so many back
office jobs being created. HR managers and IT professionals may be important to
our increasingly knowledge based and personalized service based economy but
it’s nonetheless surprising to see a surge in back office jobs at this stage in
the economic cycle.
I was struck by the figures you posted in a blog in November which seemed overall to suggest a decline in many skilled jobs ( e.g. electricians, plumbing jobs) while less skilled jobs (e.g shop assistants posts) increased. Is there evidence of a trend in fact away from the high-skills economy about which politicians love to talk ? And, if so, what does that imply for education and training ?
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